The populist right in France has suffered a significant blow in the latest elections, with early results indicating that approximately 34% of the French population voted for Marine Le Pen’s “National Union” party, compared to 29% for a broad left bloc and 22% for the Center Bloc led by President Emmanuel Macron. This outcome is a significant setback for Macron, who had called for snap elections three weeks ago to solidify his political power but ended up losing.
The election results have thrown France’s political landscape into chaos, with all eyes now on the National Assembly to see how support rates will translate into seats. The National Assembly has a total of 577 seats, and initial estimates suggest that the “National Union” may not reach the required 289 seats for a majority, with predictions ranging between 240 and 270 seats. The left bloc, consisting of social democrats, greens, extreme left, and communists, is also expected to win between 180 and 200 seats.
Macron’s party, “Renaissance,” may only secure between 60 and 90 seats, while the right-wing “republicans” not aligned with Le Pen are forecasted to win several dozen seats. This political landscape could lead to a period of stagnation in France.
As the results become clear in each electoral district, candidates who qualify for the second round will compete to secure their seats. It is expected that there will be many more three-way races in the upcoming round, with candidates withdrawing and endorsing their opponents. The French National Union party has shown its widespread support across France, proving that the European Parliament elections were not just a protest vote.
Following the release of the initial results